Weekly Geopolitical Intelligence Briefing: February 16 - February 22, 2026
Rising tensions in Iran and Nigeria, political unrest in France, and domestic challenges in the US highlight a turbulent week in global affairs.
International Relations Correspondent
Europe: Tensions Between Right and Left
France is currently embroiled in a political firestorm following the death of far-right activist Quentin Deranque. The French government has accused the hard-left faction, specifically implicating members of France Unbowed, in the violence, though these charges have been firmly denied by left-wing representatives. This incident not only underscores the growing polarization within French society but also reflects a broader trend of increasing division within European politics.
North America: Social Issues and Security Concerns
United States
Tennis star Coco Gauff has taken a bold step into social activism, voicing concerns over pressing domestic issues in the US. Her call for greater attention to human rights and safety has resonated widely, sparking global dialogue about the responsibility of public figures in advocacy.
Canada
The tragic school shooting in Tumbler Ridge has united Canadians in grief and solidarity. This event has once again raised questions about security measures and mental health support within educational institutions. The national response highlights Canada's community resilience in the face of adversity.
Middle East: Increased Instability
Gaza
In Gaza, the humanitarian crisis deepens as displaced Palestinians endure life-threatening conditions amidst landfills. Complications include health risks from rats, disease, and unexploded ordnances, exacerbating an already dire situation and calling for urgent international intervention.
Iran
Tensions escalated as Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu pushed for US intervention in Iran, urging a regime-change policy. The situation is further complicated by US political dynamics, with former President Trump's influence still vivid. This scenario adds to a volatile mix in the Middle East, where geopolitical interests clash.
Africa: Security Developments
In Nigeria, the US has deployed 100 troops amid increasing threats from armed groups. Though the mission is currently non-combatant, it underscores the growing security concerns in Africa’s most populous nation. This move could signify broader international involvement in stabilizing the region.
Asia: Democratic Challenges
Bangladesh
The upcoming elections in Bangladesh, following the significant Gen Z uprising of 2024, are poised to shape the nation’s political future. The electoral atmosphere is charged with debates on governance and economic management, crucial tenets for the populous nation’s stability.
Why It Matters
What to Watch Next Week
The unfolding developments in France could lead to increased political turmoil as both the government and opposition harden their stances. In the Middle East, keep an eye on diplomatic maneuvers around Iran, particularly any changes in US policy under pressure from Israel. The humanitarian crisis in Gaza may attract renewed international attention and potential relief initiatives. In North America, watch for further social activism inspired by public figures like Coco Gauff, potentially influencing political rhetoric in the US. Meanwhile, ongoing security deployments in Nigeria could signal shifts in US foreign policy focus toward African security challenges.
