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Pakistan and Afghanistan Enter Open Conflict Amidst Airstrikes

Pakistan's airstrikes on Kabul signal an 'open war' with Afghanistan, escalating regional tensions and reshaping geopolitical dynamics.

M
Marcus Webb

Senior Geopolitical Analyst

February 27, 2026
3 min read
2 hours ago
France 24
Pakistan and Afghanistan Enter Open Conflict Amidst Airstrikes

The decades-old tension between Pakistan and Afghanistan has escalated into what is being described by Pakistan's defense officials as 'open war.' The declaration follows a series of airstrikes conducted by Pakistan on Kabul and three other Afghan provinces during the night spanning Thursday to Friday. This development marks a significant turning point in the relationship between the two neighboring countries, traditionally marred by deep-seated distrust and strategic conflicts.

Historical Context

Pakistan and Afghanistan's historically fraught relationship dates back to the mid-20th century, marked by border disputes, ethnic divides, and geopolitical maneuvers. The two nations have been at loggerheads over the Durand Line, a colonial-era demarcation that Pakistan recognizes but Afghanistan disputes. Over the years, accusations have flown both ways, with Pakistan alleging Afghan assistance to anti-Pakistan elements and Afghanistan accusing Pakistan of harboring the Taliban and other insurgent groups.

The backdrop to these recent events is a complex web of alliances and enmities that shaped both countries' policies. Afghanistan, with its strategic location, has long been a focal point of regional power play, with players including India, Iran, and the West, all having vested interests.

Recent Developments

The immediate cause of the recent airstrikes can be traced to a deterioration in relations over the past few months, exacerbated by a rise in militant activities on both sides of the border. The formation of the National Resistance Front in Afghanistan, allegedly backed by external forces opposed to Taliban rule, and continuous cross-border insurgent attacks have further strained relations.

Pakistan's Perspective

Pakistan's defense minister, in a statement following the airstrikes, underscored that the incursion into Afghan territory was a defensive measure against what Islamabad perceives as growing threats emanating from Afghanistan. The Pakistani military has justified its actions by alleging an increase in hostile activities by militant groups with bases inside Afghan territory.

Afghan Reactions

Afghanistan has condemned the airstrikes, labeling them as severe infractions of its sovereignty. The Taliban, now in power in Afghanistan, has expressed outrage over the civilian loss and infrastructural damage resulting from these attacks, accusing Pakistan of unwarranted aggression.

Geopolitical Implications

This escalation comes at a time when regional powers are cautiously navigating the renewed power dynamics following the withdrawal of US forces from Afghanistan. The conflict drastically affects the potential for peace and stability in South Asia. Moreover, it puts entities like the United Nations and various humanitarian groups in a tight position as they grapple with engaging Afghanistan diplomatically under Taliban rule while ensuring regional security.

The airstrikes' implications extend to the international sphere, potentially affecting Pakistan's relationships with global superpowers like the US and China. China's Belt and Road Initiative that cuts through Pakistan could be impacted due to security fears stemming from a destabilized Afghanistan. Similarly, the US, with its recently severed ties with Afghanistan post-withdrawal, will watch closely how this conflict reshapes security arrangements in the region.

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Why It Matters

The escalation between Pakistan and Afghanistan is a pivotal moment in South Asian geopolitics, highlighting the fragility of regional peace and the intricate web of alliances and hostilities. The conflict's significance lies in its potential to dethrone the equilibrium painstakingly maintained since the Taliban took over Kabul. Additionally, this open war might induce further international involvement, especially from powers like China and the US, seeking to maintain their strategic interests.

The aggressive stance might also lead to intensified border skirmishes, increasing civilian casualties and creating economic repercussions. Observers should monitor how regional players like India and Iran respond, as their involvement or non-intervention will profoundly influence the conflict's trajectory.

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